Military Juntas, Civil Society Activism, and Post-Coup Political Orders

2021-2022

The project examines different outcomes of post–Cold War military coups. In some countries the armed forces have paved the way for competitive elections between civilian-led political parties, and depart from power voluntarily. In others, the armed forces have rigged elections in favor of their preferred political party or have established a military dictatorship. What explains this variation? Drawing on a global dataset, the project pursues a combination of fuzzy-set qualitative comparative analysis (fsqca; medium-N analysis with a global focus) and process-tracing techniques (comparative small-N analysis with a focus on sub-Saharan Africa). It accounts for different outcomes by focusing on the composition and conduct of civil society organizations in the aftermath of military coups.