AI-driven Modeling & Forecasting for Democratic Development and Decline (AIM4D)
Conveners:
Michael Coppedge
Kellogg Faculty Fellow
Alfred C. DeCrane Jr. Professor of International Studies; Department of Political Science
Dmitry Zaytsev
Kellogg Faculty Fellow
Associate Professor of the Practice (SBE & Data Science); Lucy Family Institute
Cosponsored with Lucy Family Institute for Data & Society, Franco Family Institute
Tentative Agenda
Day 0, Thursday, October 15, 2026
Arrival of the Participants & Check-in
Welcome Dinner for presenters, panelists, and keynote speakers
Day 1, Friday, October 16, 2026
8:00 – 8:30 am: Breakfast & Check-in
Welcoming keynotes and panels:
8:30 – 9:00 am: Welcome & Introduction
9:00 – 9:45 am: AIM4D Panel Session I : AIM-3D Public Portal: Official Launch Presentation
9:45 – 10:00 am: Coffee Break
10:00 – 10:45 am: AIM4D Panel Session II : 10 years of V-Dem in Networks and Numbers
10:45 – 12:00 pm: AIM4D Panel Session III : Roundtable with V-Dem PIs and PMs
12:00 – 12:45 pm : Lunch
Panel I: Machine Learning on Democratization
12:45 – 1:00 pm: Tour de Table
1:00 – 2:00 pm: Presenter #1
2:00 – 3:00 pm: Presenter #2
3:00 – 4:00 pm: Presenter #3
4:00 – 4:15 pm: Coffee Break
Panel II: Specialized AIs on Related Phenomena
4:15 – 5:15 pm: Presenter #4
5:15 – 6:15 pm: Presenter #5
6:15 – 7:15 pm: Presenter #6
7:15 – 8:30 pm: Dinner
Day 2, Saturday, October 17, 2026
8:00 – 8:30 am: Breakfast
Panel III: Event Data and Democratization
8:30 – 9:30 am: Presenter #7
9:30 – 10:30 am: Presenter #8
10:30 – 11:30 am: Presenter #9
11:30 – 12:15 pm : Lunch
Panel IV: Estimation Using Neural Networks
12:15 – 1:15 pm: Presenter #10
1:15 – 2:15 pm: Presenter #11
2:15 – 3:15 pm: Presenter #11
3:15 – 3:30 pm: Coffee Break
Panel V: Public-Facing Interactive Interfaces
3:30 – 4:30 pm: Presenter #12
4:30 – 5:30 pm: Presenter #13
5:30 – 6:30 pm: Presenter #14
6:30 – 7:00 pm: Concluding panel: Big-Picture Implications
7:00 – 8:00 pm: Farewell Dinner

Michael Coppedge
Michael Coppedge is the Alfred C. DeCrane Jr. Professor of International Studies in the department of political science at the University of Notre Dame, where he is a faculty fellow of the Kellogg Institute. His research interests include democratization and the quality of democracy; Latin American parties and party systems; Venezuelan politics; and comparative politics methodology...





