Work-in-Progress

Globalization of Marriage and Trade

Tue
Apr
22
Work-in-Progress Seminars are designed to generate in-depth discussion of new scholarly work. For the pre-circulated paper and to attend, please register with the link below. Room location information will be shared with preparation materials following your registration.

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Eva Dziadula
Kellogg Institute Faculty Fellow
Teaching Professor of Economics

Jordi Paniagua
Kellogg Distinguished Research Affiliate
Associate Professor of Applied Economics, University of Valencia (Spain)


We study the role of cross-border marriages in bilateral international trade. We develop a structural model of trade that incorporates cross-border marriages. We then evaluate empirically the effect of marriage on trade flows. Using IPUMS International census surveys for available countries between 1994-2019 merged with the International Trade and Production Database, we find that countries with higher marriage rates in their population trade more. Moreover, trade flows are further increased by a higher share of cross-border marriages between trading partners. We explore heterogeneity by gender of spouses and employ an IV approach to validate our findings. We perform several counterfactuals to evaluate the contribution of marriage to welfare in general equilibrium.